Analytics
Resolved Pegula on 1 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Pegula at 61%. The Kostyuk side opened at 50% on 30 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 30 Sep 2025 to 1 Oct 2025, the highest close was 50% on 30 Sep 2025 and the lowest 39% on 1 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 11 points down, to 39% on 1 Oct 2025. $56.21K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 3, 12:43 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Kostyuk price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 30 Sep 2025 – 1 Oct 2025, chart shows 35%–55%
| Observed | Kostyuk price |
|---|---|
| 30 Sep 2025 | 50.0% |
| 1 Oct 2025 | 39.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Hagen | Kostyuk | 371.43 |
| valeron88 | Kostyuk | 174.42 |
| RelentlessMist703 | Kostyuk | 164 |
| xTaitey | Kostyuk | 125 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This is a polymarket on the tennis match between Marta Kostyuk and Jessica Pegula in the China Open, scheduled for September 30 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kostyuk' if Marta Kostyuk advances against Jessica Pegula. This market will resolve to 'Pegula' if Jessica Pegula advances against Marta Kostyuk. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve in favor of the player(s) who officially advances to the next round. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/wta-kostyuk-vs-pegula-2025-10-01
| Greed0624 | Kostyuk | 20 |
| Deafening-Possible | Kostyuk | 14 |
| 2j289uUmAio7ap245975 | Kostyuk | 2.49 |
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