Analytics
Resolved Jelena Ostapenko on 13 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Jelena Ostapenko at 55.5%. The Daria Kasatkina side opened at 43.5% on 12 Oct 2026. Before it settled, the high was 44.5% on 13 Oct 2026 and the low 43.5% on 12 Oct 2026. $141.77K traded over the market's life.
77 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 14, 10:10 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Daria Kasatkina price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 12 Oct 2026 – 13 Oct 2026, chart shows 38%–50%
| Observed | Daria Kasatkina price |
|---|---|
| 12 Oct 2026 | 43.5% |
| 13 Oct 2026 | 44.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| monkeymashingkeyboard | Daria Kasatkina | 20K |
| avotrade | Daria Kasatkina | 3.46K |
| ghostorder | Daria Kasatkina | 3.35K |
| CandleHammerDrums | Daria Kasatkina | 2.96K |
| AnonymousUsername | Daria Kasatkina | 2.89K |
| RLGAlgo | Daria Kasatkina | 1.15K |
| nicoczyt | Daria Kasatkina | 1K |
| Jade Scout EEB9 | Daria Kasatkina | 852.81 |
| NM-P | Daria Kasatkina | 807.96 |
| Lilybaeum | Daria Kasatkina | 442.61 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Daria Kasatkina and Jelena Ostapenko in the Wuhan Tennis Open, originally scheduled for October 12, 2026 at 10:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daria Kasatkina' if Daria Kasatkina advances against Jelena Ostapenko. This market will resolve to 'Jelena Ostapenko' if Jelena Ostapenko advances against Daria Kasatkina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/wta-kasatki-ostapen-2026-10-12
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
