Analytics
Resolved Kasatkina on 10 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Kasatkina at 26.5%. The Kasatkina side opened at 32% on 9 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 9 Feb 2026 to 10 Feb 2026, the highest close was 32% on 9 Feb 2026 and the lowest 26.5% on 10 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points down, to 26.5% on 10 Feb 2026. $152.26K traded over the market's life.
58 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 11, 4:23 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Kasatkina price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 9 Feb 2026 – 10 Feb 2026, chart shows 24%–36%
| Observed | Kasatkina price |
|---|---|
| 9 Feb 2026 | 32.0% |
| 10 Feb 2026 | 26.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Palatable-Cardigan | Mertens | 1.72K |
| Unconscious-Provision | Mertens | 1.7K |
| knedloveprovelo | Mertens | 1.5K |
| DumbHon7 | Mertens | 1.17K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers on the tennis match between Daria Kasatkina and Elise Mertens in the Qatar Total Open, scheduled for February 10 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kasatkina' if Daria Kasatkina advances against Elise Mertens. This market will resolve to 'Mertens' if Elise Mertens advances against Daria Kasatkina. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/wta-kasatki-mertens-2026-02-10
| Bernik | Mertens | 816 |
| Myname2025 | Mertens | 561.18 |
| astapzippo | Mertens | 535 |
| slimjoe | Mertens | 486.66 |
| dikkepiemel | Mertens | 433 |
| Moneyminter.365 | Mertens | 385.33 |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
