Analytics
Resolved Jelena Ostapenko on 11 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Jelena Ostapenko at 55.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 10 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 10 May 2026 to 11 May 2026, the highest close was 50% on 10 May 2026 and the lowest 44.5% on 11 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points down, to 44.5% on 11 May 2026. $489.64K traded over the market's life.
159 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 12, 2:46 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 10 May 2026 – 11 May 2026, chart shows 40%–55%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 10 May 2026 | 50.0% |
| 11 May 2026 | 44.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| tradingl | Anna Kalinskaya | 35.35K |
| petyas231 | Anna Kalinskaya | 8.01K |
| ITSTHEEND | Anna Kalinskaya | 6.79K |
| ferrariChampions2026 | Anna Kalinskaya |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers to the tennis match between Anna Kalinskaya and Jelena Ostapenko in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, originally scheduled for May 11, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anna Kalinskaya' if Anna Kalinskaya advances against Jelena Ostapenko. This market will resolve to 'Jelena Ostapenko' if Jelena Ostapenko advances against Anna Kalinskaya. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/wta-kalinsk-ostapen-2026-05-11
| 2.64K |
| timetowander | Anna Kalinskaya | 2K |
| kasongoYeah | Anna Kalinskaya | 1.99K |
| HowieRatner | Anna Kalinskaya | 1.6K |
| doutrustlight | Anna Kalinskaya | 1.19K |
| Sumeria | Anna Kalinskaya | 1.13K |
| Ivanet109 | Anna Kalinskaya | 1.12K |
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