Analytics
Resolved Yes on 21 Oct 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 54%. Yes opened at 52.5% on 20 Oct 2026. Before it settled, the high was 54% on 21 Oct 2026 and the low 52.5% on 20 Oct 2026. $407.38 traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 21, 5:30 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 20 Oct 2026 – 21 Oct 2026, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Oct 2026 | 52.5% |
| 21 Oct 2026 | 54.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| jonspe | No | 103.69 |
| wfewfew2b2 | No | 100 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Talia Gibson and Sinja Kraus in the Japan Women's Open, originally scheduled for October 20, 2026 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if all games and sets required to determine a match winner under governing body or event organizer rules are played to completion through normal play. Otherwise, if the match is not completed for any reason, it will resolve to "No." If a forfeit of any kind occurs, including but not limited to a walkover or retirement, this market will resolve "No." If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/wta-gibson-kraus-2026-10-20
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