Analytics
Resolved Garcia on 20 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Garcia at 100%. The Garcia side opened at 54.5% on 18 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 18 Feb 2026 to 20 Feb 2026, the highest close was 100% on 20 Feb 2026 and the lowest 54.5% on 18 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 45 points up, to 100% on 20 Feb 2026. $38.46K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 21, 8:26 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Garcia price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 18 Feb 2026 – 20 Feb 2026
| Observed | Garcia price |
|---|---|
| 18 Feb 2026 | 54.5% |
| 20 Feb 2026 | 100.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Closed-Comfort | Leonard | 1.42K |
| knedloveprovelo | Leonard | 1.36K |
| Loving-Chime | Leonard | 200 |
| Tame-Spill | Leonard | 164.24 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market refers on the tennis match between Andrea Lazaro Garcia and Manon Leonard in the Les Sables d'Olonne, scheduled for February 18 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Garcia' if Andrea Lazaro Garcia advances against Manon Leonard. This market will resolve to 'Leonard' if Manon Leonard advances against Andrea Lazaro Garcia. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution source: https://www.wtatennis.com/scores
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/wta-garcia-leonard-2026-02-18
| Bagwell306 | Leonard | 154.78 |
| taco-321 | Leonard | 53.03 |
| paas2 | Leonard | 30.01 |
| Emerald Quasar 38CC | Leonard | 15.16 |
| A.V. | Leonard | 15 |
| Libraritun | Leonard | 10 |
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