Analytics
Resolved Chwalinska on 4 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Chwalinska at 62%. Yes opened at 56.5% on 3 Feb 2026. Before it settled, the high was 56.5% on 3 Feb 2026 and the low 38% on 4 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 18 points down, to 38% on 4 Feb 2026. $121.48K traded over the market's life.
70 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 5, 4:25 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 3 Feb 2026 – 4 Feb 2026 · axis zoomed to 30%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 3 Feb 2026 | 56.5% |
| 4 Feb 2026 | 38.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Zarzas | Danilovic | 4.54K |
| vasik129 | Danilovic | 2.21K |
| sids1jain | Danilovic | 1.56K |
| Each-Naming | Danilovic | 1.2K |
| DOLLAR-PRINTER | Danilovic | 1.06K |
| xSanctuary | Danilovic | 300 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Danilovic | 254 |
| Brisk-Mallard | Danilovic | 215 |
| Genuine-Breath | Danilovic | 214 |
| Sane-Marshland | Danilovic | 213 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers on the tennis match between Maja Chwalinska and Olga Danilovic in the Transylvania Open, scheduled for February 4 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Chwalinska' if Maja Chwalinska advances against Olga Danilovic. This market will resolve to 'Danilovic' if Olga Danilovic advances against Maja Chwalinska. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/wta-chwalin-danilov-2026-02-04
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