Analytics
Resolved Maria Lourdes Carle on 16 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Maria Lourdes Carle at 48.5%. Yes opened at 67.5% on 15 Jul 2026. Before it settled, the high was 67.5% on 15 Jul 2026 and the low 51.5% on 16 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 51.5% on 16 Jul 2026. $136.07K traded over the market's life.
77 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 17, 2:13 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 2 points · 15 Jul 2026 – 16 Jul 2026 · axis zoomed to 45%–75%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 15 Jul 2026 | 67.5% |
| 16 Jul 2026 | 51.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Emerald Kestrel 9CF8 | Barbora Palicova | 25.91K |
| ferrariChampions2026 | Barbora Palicova | 16.68K |
| dex57 | Barbora Palicova | 1.54K |
| EVryBet | Barbora Palicova | 978.35 |
| jackmeghivott | Barbora Palicova | 500.41 |
| 0101010101010101010101 | Barbora Palicova | 333.33 |
| 15perces | Barbora Palicova | 265.51 |
| Shawnyou | Barbora Palicova | 238.1 |
| crinkledaces | Barbora Palicova | 192.31 |
| tenpercenttest | Barbora Palicova | 167.25 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market refers to the tennis match between Maria Lourdes Carle and Barbora Palicova in the Kitzbuehel, originally scheduled for July 15, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Maria Lourdes Carle' if Maria Lourdes Carle advances against Barbora Palicova. This market will resolve to 'Barbora Palicova' if Barbora Palicova advances against Maria Lourdes Carle. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/wta-carle-palicov-2026-07-15
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