Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 12% on 9 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 42 daily closes on record from 9 Jun 2026 to 20 Jul 2026, the highest close was 17% on 13 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 20 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 6 points down, to 11% on 14 Jun 2026. $59.08K traded over the market's life.
41 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 20, 10:49 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 42 points, 9 Jun 2026 – 20 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Jun 2026 | 12.0% |
| 20 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| pastek11 | Yes | 1.43K |
| 0x49F206 | Yes | 568.51 |
| labistiiia | Yes | 507.33 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Note: Current record 18 (Argentina vs. Netherlands, 2022). This market will resolve “Yes” if 19 or more yellow cards are shown across both teams in any single match of the 2026 FIFA World Cup, including extra time and penalty shootouts. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Cards shown to coaches or technical staff count toward the total. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether the record was broken within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/world-cup-single-match-yellow-cards-record-broken-20260608181825534
| Yes |
| 432.16 |
| 0xJules | Yes | 345.3 |
| Golden Quasar 9AFE | Yes | 315 |
| Silver Comet 6F19 | Yes | 240 |
| Komo431 | Yes | 223.33 |
| Quititox | Yes | 124.15 |
| Glamnboi | Yes | 114.25 |
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