Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 74.5%. Yes opened at 33.5% on 8 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 29 daily closes on record from 8 Jun 2026 to 6 Jul 2026, the highest close was 50.5% on 10 Jun 2026 and the lowest 13% on 3 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 23% on 18 Jun 2026. $28.41K traded over the market's life.
73 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 7, 10:48 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 29 points, 8 Jun 2026 – 6 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Jun 2026 | 33.5% |
| 6 Jul 2026 | 25.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| SkillartSB | Yes | 2.15K |
| buki | Yes | 981.5 |
| Watery-Collapse | Yes | 678.99 |
| djokowin | Yes | 598.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve “Yes” if Cristiano Ronaldo scores two or more penalty kicks during the 2026 FIFA World Cup. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only penalty kicks taken during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time count. Penalty shootout goals do not count. A penalty must be scored to count toward the total; missed or saved penalties do not count. If Cristiano Ronaldo does not play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup for any reason, this market will resolve to “50-50”. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined whether Ronaldo scored two or more penalties within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “50-50”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/world-cup-ronaldo-to-score-2-penalties-20260605004524368
| roflingbets | Yes | 502.35 |
| Denbedste365 | Yes | 428.34 |
| tiuri | Yes | 265.63 |
| -Guapo-- | Yes | 211.42 |
| Azure Comet 24D1 | Yes | 188.5 |
| .chumpo | Yes | 173.77 |
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