Analytics
Resolved No on 20 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 3.5% on 17 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 4 daily closes on record from 17 Jul 2026 to 20 Jul 2026, the highest close was 3.6% on 18 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 20 Jul 2026. $5.81K traded over the market's life.
23 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 21, 12:13 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 4 points, 17 Jul 2026 – 20 Jul 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 17 Jul 2026 | 3.5% |
| 20 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| tomatosauce2 | Yes | 538.92 |
| chengde | Yes | 200.01 |
| neutralwave23 | Yes | 192.06 |
| polche | Yes | 173.38 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve “Yes” if any player records a hat trick during the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A hat trick is defined as a single player scoring three or more goals in a single match. Goals scored in regular time, stoppage time, and extra time count. Goals scored by way of penalty kick during regular time, stoppage time, or extra time count toward the total. Own goals and penalty shootout goals do not count. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final is cancelled, postponed after August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear whether a player recorded a hat trick within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/world-cup-final-any-player-to-score-a-hat-trick-20260716194352297
| stuartbb11 | Yes | 169.51 |
| Ragged-Peacock | Yes | 167.92 |
| Shabby-Sign | Yes | 100.25 |
| Swift Signal F0C9 | Yes | 89.29 |
| patasugil | Yes | 51 |
| J25525 | Yes | 50 |
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