
Resolved Wings on 4 Jul 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Wings at 16.5%. The Mercury side opened at 66% on 3 Jul 2025. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 3 Jul 2025 to 4 Jul 2025, the highest close was 83.5% on 4 Jul 2025 and the lowest 66% on 3 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 17 points up, to 83.5% on 4 Jul 2025. $26.49K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 5, 8:25 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Mercury price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 3 Jul 2025 – 4 Jul 2025, chart shows 60%–90%
| Observed | Mercury price |
|---|---|
| 3 Jul 2025 | 66.0% |
| 4 Jul 2025 | 83.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Mercury | 412 |
| Impeccable-Tempo | Mercury | 250 |
| Lazareth | Mercury | 7.69 |
| jk89 | Mercury | 1.27 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
In the upcoming WNBA game, scheduled for July 3 at 8:00PM ET: If the Phoenix Mercury win, the market will resolve to "Mercury". If the Dallas Wings win, the market will resolve to "Wings". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution source: https://www.wnba.com/
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/wnba-phx-dal-2025-07-03
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| thestupidmoney | Wings | 0.04 |