Analytics
Paper trading
Resolved Yes on 2 Sep 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 75%. Yes opened at 59% on 22 Aug 2025. Before it settled, the high was 84.5% on 1 Sep 2025 and the low 56% on 26 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 15 points up, to 71.5% on 27 Aug 2025. $252.19K traded over the market's life.
30 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 4, 1:07 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 22 Aug 2025 – 2 Sep 2025, chart shows 50%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 22 Aug 2025 | 59.0% |
| 2 Sep 2025 | 75.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| churchilldowns | No | 39.88K |
| horiz0n | No | 34K |
| burgerrrr | No | 9.85K |
| Hedging101 | No | 8.98K |
| KeithGill | No | 3.01K |
| bigsi | No | 2.41K |
| dreamin | No | 991.87 |
| rocketpoop | No | 500 |
| ReefTo06 | No | 357.59 |
| jasonbourne | No | 150 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of WLFI's token (World Liberty Financial) is greater than $13,000,000,000 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market "locked" tokens or non-swappable tokens will not be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 24 hours after launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If WLFI doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No."
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/wlfi-13b-market-cap-fdv-one-day-after-launch
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