Analytics
Resolved Yes on 30 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 49.5%. Yes opened at 51.5% on 23 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 23 Jun 2026 to 30 Jun 2026, the highest close was 82% on 27 Jun 2026 and the lowest 49.5% on 30 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 30 points up, to 82% on 27 Jun 2026. $1.41K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 1, 5:29 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 23 Jun 2026 – 30 Jun 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 23 Jun 2026 | 51.5% |
| 30 Jun 2026 | 49.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
| Easy-Going-Ghost | No | 34.72 |
| menthe2 | No | 25 |
| triklozoid | No | 20 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a player seeded number 10 or higher is defeated during the first round of the Women’s Singles main tournament in the 2026 Championships at Wimbledon. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If an applicable match is started but not completed (e.g., abandoned without a result), or not played, this market will resolve to 50-50. A result by retirement or walkover counts as a completed match and will resolve "Yes" or "No" according to which player is credited the win under AELTC rules. If the Championships at Wimbledon are cancelled or postponed after July 14, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the AELTC and Wimbledon; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/wimbledon-2026-top-10-seed-to-lose-in-first-round-womens-singles-20260620160316066
| hesure | No | 10 |
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