What is the “Will Zuck KO Musk?” market asking?

It asks whether the following will happen: Will Zuck KO Musk? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 50.0¢ and No at 50.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 50.0% for Yes and 50.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

When does this market close?

Trading is scheduled to close on Apr 1, 2024 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.

How does this market resolve?

This is a market on whether Mark Zuckerberg will win the first scheduled bout with Elon Musk by KO/TKO. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mark Zuckerberg wins the first scheduled bout with Elon Musk by KO/TKO. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no fight between Elon Musk and Mark Zuckerberg is scheduled by April 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. If such a fight is scheduled and then cancelled, this market will resolve 50-50. If a fight between Elon Musk and Mark Zuckerberg is scheduled before April 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET but is set to take place after that…

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

24h volume ($22.72K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who holds the biggest positions in this market?

Vultax loaded 2 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 100.0% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated May 7, 11:09 PM UTC) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/will-zuck-ko-musk) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Will Zuck KO Musk? | Polymarket odds & analytics

Predictions Analytics

Will Zuck KO Musk? | Polymarket odds & analytics | Vultax

Market referencewill-zuck-ko-muskUpdated May 7, 2024 UTC

Closed

Scheduled close Apr 1, 2024 UTC

Yes

50.0%

Observed Yes 50¢Observed No 50¢

24h Volume

$22.7K

Scheduled close

Apr 1, 2024 UTC

Overview Prices Holders Trades

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

May 7, 2024 UTC

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

May 7, 2024 UTC

This resolved market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Closed

Order book

Captured book available

Observed Yes

50.0%

The venue reports this market closed, but no resolved outcome is inferred.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

100%

Yes / No shares

20 / 158.64

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

Wallets

Loaded notional

PricesPolymarket CLOB price history · 1440 min sampling · latest observation Apr 2, 12:00 AM UTC

Depth historyCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Bucket	Close	Mid
Apr 2, 12:00 AM UTC	50.0%	50.0%
Apr 1, 12:00 AM UTC	50.0%	50.0%
Mar 31, 12:00 AM UTC	50.0%	50.0%

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Will Zuck KO Musk?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Will Zuck KO Musk? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 50.0¢ and No at 50.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 50.0% for Yes and 50.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?: Trading is scheduled to close on Apr 1, 2024 UTC. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?: This is a market on whether Mark Zuckerberg will win the first scheduled bout with Elon Musk by KO/TKO. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mark Zuckerberg wins the first scheduled bout with Elon Musk by KO/TKO. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If no fight between Elon Musk and Mark Zuckerberg is scheduled by April 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. If such a fight is scheduled and then cancelled, this market will resolve 50-50. If a fight between Elon Musk and Mark Zuckerberg is scheduled before April 1, 2024, 11:59 PM ET but is set to take place after that…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: 24h volume ($22.72K) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
Who holds the biggest positions in this market?