Analytics
Resolved Yes on 23 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 32%. Yes opened at 50% on 21 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 21 Oct 2025 to 23 Oct 2025, the highest close was 50% on 21 Oct 2025 and the lowest 23.5% on 22 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 27 points down, to 23.5% on 22 Oct 2025. $3K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 24, 4:32 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 21 Oct 2025 – 23 Oct 2025, chart shows 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Oct 2025 | 50.0% |
| 23 Oct 2025 | 32.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 855.75 |
| NoMoreMister | No | 368.32 |
| shine | No | 211.84 |
| Brown-Appetizer | No | 165 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market resolves to the next individual officially announced as a Vice Chair (“中央军委副主席”) of the Communist Party of China’s Central Military Commission (CMC) after market creation. If multiple individuals are announced on the same day, the market will resolve in favor of the individual who was announced first by an official source. If multiple individuals are officially announced simultaneously as CMC Vice Chairs in the same official document/broadcast, the market will resolve in accordance with the listed order indicated by the official announcement. If no order is indicated the market will resolve according to the alphabetical order of the individuals listed last name. If no Vice Chair (“中央军委副主席”) of the Communist Party of China’s Central Military Commission (CMC) is announced by June 30, 2026, this market will resolve to “None by June 30”. The primary resolution sources will be official Chinese state announcements (such as Xinhua bulletins, People’s Daily readouts, etc.) However a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/next-vice-chair-of-chinas-central-military-commission-cmc
| Bumpy-Goodwill | No | 155 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | No | 146 |
| Striped-Listening | No | 145 |
| Avaricious-Manacle | No | 135 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | No | 67 |
| Cookedtan | No | 51.03 |
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