Analytics
Resolved No on 16 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 40.5% on 21 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 41 daily closes on record from 21 Mar 2026 to 16 May 2026 (16 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 40.5% on 21 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 18 Apr 2026. Its largest one-day move was 15 points down, to 25.5% on 22 Mar 2026. $26.66K traded over the market's life.
48 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 16, 4:35 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 41 points, 21 Mar 2026 – 16 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Mar 2026 | 40.5% |
| 16 May 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 42.59K |
| mymacbook | Yes | 1.75K |
| anciente | Yes | 1.07K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the third-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/peru-presidential-election-first-round-3rd-place
| Yes |
| 1K |
| Mild-Pocketwatch | Yes | 1K |
| xyk101010 | Yes | 1K |
| Xyjaksjsdf | Yes | 1K |
| xyk05 | Yes | 1K |
| xyk13 | Yes | 1K |
| xyk1111 | Yes | 1K |
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
