What is the “Will YNW Melly be found guilty?” market asking?

It asks whether the following will happen: Will YNW Melly be found guilty? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.

What do the Yes and No prices mean?

At the last observation Yes traded at 50.0¢ and No at 50.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 50.0% for Yes and 50.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.

When does this market close?

Trading is scheduled to close on Dec 31, 2023. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.

How does this market resolve?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jamell Demons (YNW Melly) is found guilty of any charge in his ongoing case "The State of Florida v. Jamell Demons" (Case Number 19001872CF10A). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If "The State of Florida v. Jamell Demons" case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgement is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No". If the trial has not ended by the resolution date, December 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. This market will…

What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?

24h volume ($0) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.

Who holds the biggest positions in this market?

Vultax loaded 7 public holder wallets for this market; the largest ten hold 100.0% of the loaded shares. The Holders view lists them by size on each side, and every wallet links to its trader profile.

Where does this data come from and how fresh is it?

Prices, the order book, holders and the trade tape come from Polymarket's public order book and data API. Vultax records each observation with its own timestamp (market facts last updated Feb 10, 8:17 AM) and shows a value as unavailable rather than as zero when a source has not answered.

Can I trade this market on Vultax?

No. Vultax is a research and paper-trading terminal; it does not execute orders. The trade controls open the official market on Polymarket (https://polymarket.com/event/will-ynw-melly-be-found-guilty) or the Vultax predictions monitor, where you can track the market and paper trade it.

Will YNW Melly be found guilty? | Polymarket odds & analytics

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Analytics

Predictions Analytics

Will YNW Melly be found guilty? | Polymarket odds & analytics | Vultax

Market referencewill-ynw-melly-be-found-guiltyUpdated Feb 10, 2024

Closed

Scheduled close Dec 31, 2023

Yes

50.0%

Observed Yes 50¢Observed No 50¢

24h Volume

Scheduled close

Dec 31, 2023

Overview Prices Holders Trades

Source Evidence

Evidence coverage

Items

Fetched

Latest

Mar 22, 2024

Public Polymarket market/event context is available; Vultax source-pack coverage is tracked separately.

Depth

Observed

Feb 10, 2024

This resolved market has no live orderbook depth; the public close quote is shown for context.

Trading stateMarket usability at the displayed observation.

Market state

Closed

Order book

Captured book available

Observed Yes

50.0%

The venue reports this market closed, but no resolved outcome is inferred.

Holder depthCapped public top-holder sample.

Rows loaded

Wallets

Top 10 share

100%

Yes / No shares

170.87 / 270.57

Rows reflect the positive holders returned for this market, not venue-wide open interest.

Recent tapeLatest public market trades.

Trades loaded

Wallets

Loaded notional

PricesPolymarket CLOB price history · 1440 min sampling · latest observation Feb 10, 12:00 AM

Depth historyCheckSubscriber depth access is checked only when requested, keeping the public page fast.

Bucket	Close	Mid
Feb 10, 12:00 AM	50.0%	50.0%
Feb 9, 12:00 AM	50.0%	50.0%
Feb 8, 12:00 AM	50.0%	50.0%

Questions

Questions about this market

What is the “Will YNW Melly be found guilty?” market asking?: It asks whether the following will happen: Will YNW Melly be found guilty? Traders buy Yes shares if they think it will and No shares if they think it will not.
What do the Yes and No prices mean?: At the last observation Yes traded at 50.0¢ and No at 50.0¢. A Yes share pays $1 if the market resolves Yes, so its price is the market's implied probability: 50.0% for Yes and 50.0% for No. The two prices add up to about one dollar.
When does this market close?: Trading is scheduled to close on Dec 31, 2023. After the close no new trades are accepted and the outcome is settled by the resolution source.
How does this market resolve?: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jamell Demons (YNW Melly) is found guilty of any charge in his ongoing case "The State of Florida v. Jamell Demons" (Case Number 19001872CF10A). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If "The State of Florida v. Jamell Demons" case ends due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or results in any situation in which no judgement is rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No". If the trial has not ended by the resolution date, December 31, 2023, 11:59:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. This market will…
What is the difference between volume, liquidity and open interest?: 24h volume ($0) is the dollar value of shares traded in the last 24 hours. Volume measures activity, liquidity measures how easily you can trade, and open interest measures how much is at stake.
Who holds the biggest positions in this market?