Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.2%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 16 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 51 daily closes on record from 16 Jun 2026 to 6 Aug 2026 (1 day in that span have no close), the highest close was 90.5% on 2 Jul 2026 and the lowest 0.4% on 27 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 42 points down, to 47% on 5 Jul 2026. $16.43K traded over the market's life.
40 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 7, 3:20 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 51 points, 16 Jun 2026 – 6 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Jun 2026 | 49.5% |
| 6 Aug 2026 | 0.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 5.62K |
| nealzhu20260 | Yes | 593.78 |
| leegunner | Yes | 526.83 |
| Prime-Sorrel | Yes | 400 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the next team Yan Diomande officially joins by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Yan Diomande does not officially join a new team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "RB Leipzig". If Yan Diomande joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other". If Yan Diomande is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". An official transfer announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from RB Leipzig and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/where-will-yan-diomande-transfer-20260612220845266
| balthazar | Yes | 160.22 |
| jocesc | Yes | 132.94 |
| raymondpoincare | Yes | 120 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 109.99 |
| Whyalwaysme97 | Yes | 92.94 |
| daski | Yes | 92.89 |
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