Analytics
Resolved No on 12 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 27% on 6 Jan 2026. Before it settled, the high was 27% on 6 Jan 2026 and the low 0.3% on 12 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 13% on 7 Jan 2026. $14.98K traded over the market's life.
16 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 12, 4:21 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 6 Jan 2026 – 12 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Jan 2026 | 27.0% |
| 12 Jan 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 486 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 259.69 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 233 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 226.7 |
| Flamboyant-Aside | Yes | 200 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 119 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 113 |
| WhitneyHouston | Yes | 60 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 55.98 |
| Prize-Motorboat | Yes | 20 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
What price will XRP hit January 5-11?
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-xrp-hit-january-5-11
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