
Resolved No on 18 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 22.5% on 12 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 7 daily closes on record from 12 May 2026 to 18 May 2026, the highest close was 22.5% on 12 May 2026 and the lowest 0.3% on 18 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 16 points down, to 7% on 13 May 2026. $20.4K traded over the market's life.
18 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 19, 3:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 12 May 2026 – 18 May 2026, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 May 2026 | 22.5% |
| 18 May 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| dobrodel589 | Yes | 1.6K |
| anx424 | Yes | 838.63 |
| leshemi2 | Yes | 558.99 |
| Twin-Balloonist | Yes | 185.9 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
What price will XRP hit May 11-17?
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-xrp-hit-may-11-17
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| AAR.26 | Yes | 135.14 |
| tendollarbill | Yes | 129.88 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| ta-koiss | Yes | 50.63 |
| koiko | Yes | 50.63 |
| triklozoid | Yes | 50 |