Analytics
Resolved No on 16 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96.7%. Yes opened at 33% on 11 Mar 2026. Before it settled, the high was 33% on 11 Mar 2026 and the low 3.3% on 16 Mar 2026. Its largest one-day move was 9 points down, to 24% on 12 Mar 2026.
212 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 17, 6:27 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 11 Mar 2026 – 16 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Mar 2026 | 33.0% |
| 16 Mar 2026 | 3.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| IH2P | Yes | 3.54K |
| Oval-Almanac | Yes | 1.01K |
| TENETENET | Yes | 1K |
| cputhreds | Yes | 289.91 |
| ziliegou | Yes | 152.61 |
| jiaobudu | Yes | 136.66 |
| jiusiyan | Yes | 134.38 |
| gouyapai | Yes | 129.99 |
| najiayou | Yes | 124.48 |
| yunshoulue | Yes | 123.71 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
What price will XRP hit March 9-15?
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-price-will-xrp-hit-march-9-15
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