Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by February 28?

Resolved

Yes, settled Jan 27, 2026 UTC

Yes

100.0%

0.0%

Final Yes 100¢Final No 0¢

Lifetime volume

$7.5K

Resolved

Yes

Settled

Jan 27, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved Yes on 27 Jan 2026.

$7.47K traded over the market's life.

14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jan 27, 6:55 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 1 point, 27 Jan 2026, chart shows 45%–60%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
27 Jan 2026	54.0%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Baggy-Objective	No	1K
Sniveling-Parent	No	1K
Bold Scout BD7E	No	412
Emerald Pioneer D14A	No	358
Bright Horizon 81D6	No	287
Crimson Vector F03A	No	143
TENETENET	No	100
TheFinalPercent	No	100
Jade Harbor B075	No	70
bjprolo	No	50

10 of 14 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to “Yes” if xQc breaks Forsen's In-Game-Time of 15:28:130 in a Minecraft speedrun during a live stream by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may resolve to “No” as soon as it becomes impossible for xQc to complete a qualifying speedrun within this market’s timeframe. For the purpose of this market, “Minecraft speedrun” refers to a playthrough of Minecraft Java Edition version 1.16.1, using a random seed, starting from world creation and ending when the Ender Dragon is defeated. For the purpose of this market, “Stream” refers to a live video broadcast hosted by xQc or where xQc is present. Prerecorded videos, videos not intended for public release, or other non-live content will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be xQc's Twitch channel (https://www.twitch.tv/xqc); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.