Analytics
Resolved No on 1 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 18% on 16 Apr 2025. Before it settled, the high was 18% on 16 Apr 2025 and the low 0.5% on 1 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 5.5 points down, to 12.5% on 17 Apr 2025. $133.06K traded over the market's life.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 2, 8:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 16 points, 16 Apr 2025 – 1 May 2025, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Apr 2025 | 18.0% |
| 1 May 2025 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| muli | Yes | 442.86 |
| BabyYoda12 | Yes | 200 |
| BH4666545BBJNKM | Yes | 60 |
| officialbsu42 | Yes | 20 |
| AGR747 | Yes | 11.11 |
| ekk-700 | Yes | 10 |
| pheegn542 | No | 1.39 |
| Wickier | No | 0.07 |
| Geromi | Yes | 0.07 |
| daoxin | No | 0.05 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump and Xi Jinping speak directly to one another between April 15, 1:00 PM ET, and April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any conversation that occurs directly between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping will qualify, regardless of whether it is over the phone, videocall, or in person. The conversation must be voice-based, not text-based. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the governments of China and the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-xi-jinping-talk-to-trump-before-may
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