Analytics
Resolved No on 9 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 48.5% on 2 May 2026. Before it settled, across the 8 daily closes on record from 2 May 2026 to 9 May 2026, the highest close was 48.5% on 2 May 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 9 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 35 points down, to 13.5% on 3 May 2026. $3.04K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 9, 9:02 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 2 May 2026 – 9 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 May 2026 | 48.5% |
| 9 May 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| alvaro25011 | Yes | 120 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 100 |
| Tryinggggg | Yes | 75.79 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of May 4 2026?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-xauusd-hit-week-of-may-4-2026
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| triklozoid | Yes | 50 |
| Peppery-Crepe-Disaster | Yes | 20.2 |
| Cosmic Tide 4193 | Yes | 14.29 |
| Mojito9 | Yes | 10 |
| rocketcrypto | Yes | 5 |
