Analytics
Resolved Yes on 5 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 2.8%. Yes opened at 50% on 1 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 1 Aug 2026 and the low 2.8% on 5 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 36 points down, to 14% on 2 Aug 2026. $15.07K traded over the market's life.
14 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 6, 4:44 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 5 points · 1 Aug 2026 – 5 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Aug 2026 | 50.0% |
| 5 Aug 2026 | 2.8% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| datajesse | No | 832.88 |
| Corrupt-Lark | No | 380.79 |
| Flamboyant-Warming | No | 345 |
| PippiTrader | No | 150.88 |
| .Menthe | No | 50 |
| PPMT | No | 30 |
| Amber Pulse 20C2 | No | 10.1 |
| zxcursed121 | No | 10 |
| Golden Beacon 74E2 | No | 9.9 |
| Giving-Absence | No | 7.05 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of August 3 2026?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-xauusd-hit-week-of-august-3-2026
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
