Analytics
Paper trading
Resolved No on 14 Aug 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 95.5%. Yes opened at 46.5% on 8 Aug 2026. Before it settled, the high was 47.5% on 10 Aug 2026 and the low 4.5% on 14 Aug 2026. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 19% on 11 Aug 2026. $3.65K traded over the market's life.
13 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 15, 6:48 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 7 points, 8 Aug 2026 – 14 Aug 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Aug 2026 | 46.5% |
| 14 Aug 2026 | 4.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| menthe2 | Yes | 50 |
| 0xA5836270 | Yes | 49.5 |
| PPMT | Yes | 29.92 |
| AF02. | Yes | 26.38 |
| nimei | Yes | 20 |
| bjprolo | Yes | 12 |
| TENETENET | Yes | 10 |
| marigliano | Yes | 8.85 |
| Amber Ledger E490 | Yes | 6.67 |
| Weepy-Item | Yes | 5 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of August 10 2026?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-xauusd-hit-week-of-august-10-2026
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