Analytics
Resolved Yes on 6 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 86%. Yes opened at 74.5% on 4 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 4 Jul 2026 to 6 Jul 2026, the highest close was 86% on 6 Jul 2026 and the lowest 57% on 5 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 29 points up, to 86% on 6 Jul 2026. $436.65 traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 7, 6:06 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 4 Jul 2026 – 6 Jul 2026, chart shows 50%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Jul 2026 | 74.5% |
| 6 Jul 2026 | 86.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| RustyScissors | No | 175 |
| Informal-Tensor | No | 66.67 |
| rocketcrypto | No | 5 |
| Weepy-Item | No | 5 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of July 6 2026?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-xauusd-hit-week-of-july-6-2026
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