Analytics
Resolved Yes on 8 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 58.5%. Yes opened at 51% on 4 Jul 2026. Before it settled, across the 5 daily closes on record from 4 Jul 2026 to 8 Jul 2026, the highest close was 58.5% on 8 Jul 2026 and the lowest 36% on 7 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 22 points up, to 58.5% on 8 Jul 2026. $1.15K traded over the market's life.
4 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 9, 9:45 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 5 points, 4 Jul 2026 – 8 Jul 2026, chart shows 30%–70%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Jul 2026 | 51.0% |
| 8 Jul 2026 | 58.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Loyal. | No | 60.99 |
| itzzessss | No | 7.82 |
| rocketcrypto | No | 5 |
| Coral Beacon 7E5B | Yes | 0.01 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
What will Gold (XAUUSD) hit Week of July 6 2026?
Resolution source: https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-xauusd-hit-week-of-july-6-2026
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