Will Xander Schauffele lead the 2026 U.S. Open following the first round?

Resolved

No, settled Jun 19, 2026 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$2.6K

Resolved

Settled

Jun 19, 2026 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 19 Jun 2026.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 98.5%. Yes opened at 49% on 17 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 3 daily closes on record from 17 Jun 2026 to 19 Jun 2026, the highest close was 49% on 17 Jun 2026 and the lowest 1.6% on 19 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 39 points down, to 1.6% on 19 Jun 2026. $2.64K traded over the market's life.

12 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Jun 20, 11:26 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 3 points, 17 Jun 2026 – 19 Jun 2026

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
17 Jun 2026	49.0%
19 Jun 2026	1.6%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Motsnz	Yes	1K
Indigo Signal 2966	No	791.1
Deafening-Possible	Yes	150
TENETENET	Yes	100

10 of 12 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the player that finishes Round 1 of the main tournament at the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club with the lowest cumulative score. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).