Analytics
Resolved No on 10 Feb 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 93.2%. Yes opened at 17% on 28 Jan 2025. Before it settled, the high was 19.3% on 9 Feb 2025 and the low 5.1% on 8 Feb 2025. Its largest one-day move was 14 points up, to 19.3% on 9 Feb 2025. $35.05K traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 11, 8:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 28 Jan 2025 – 10 Feb 2025, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Jan 2025 | 17.0% |
| 10 Feb 2025 | 6.9% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| lavarball | Yes | 355 |
| OrchidIrony | Yes | 20 |
| Cosmicbets | Yes | 14.13 |
| MarKor13 | No | 5.19 |
| testeman | No | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed company/organization runs one or more advertisements during the national broadcast of Super Bowl LIX on Fox, scheduled for February 9, 2025, at 6:30 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If an advertisement is co-funded or co-branded by multiple companies, all listed companies involved will count as having advertised. Any brand which is at least 50% owned by a listed company will count for the parent company, such or Beats for Apple. If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The advertisement must air between kickoff and the final whistle to qualify. The resolution source for this market is the National Broadcast of Super Bowl LIX on Fox, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-companies-will-run-ads-during-super-bowl-lix
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
