Analytics
Resolved No on 4 Aug 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 85.5%. Yes opened at 22.5% on 27 Jul 2024. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 27 Jul 2024 to 4 Aug 2024, the highest close was 30.5% on 1 Aug 2024 and the lowest 14.5% on 4 Aug 2024. Its largest one-day move was 12 points down, to 16.5% on 3 Aug 2024. $465.52 traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 5, 5:27 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 27 Jul 2024 – 4 Aug 2024, chart shows 10%–35%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Jul 2024 | 22.5% |
| 4 Aug 2024 | 14.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.57K |
| aleph-1 | Yes | 10 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Hammer Throw (M)
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/hammer-throw-m-gold-medal-winner
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