Analytics
Resolved No on 6 Nov 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 94%. Yes opened at 20.5% on 25 Oct 2024. Before it settled, the high was 20.5% on 25 Oct 2024 and the low 5.5% on 5 Nov 2024. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 6.5% on 26 Oct 2024. $2.85K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Nov 7, 9:39 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 13 points, 25 Oct 2024 – 6 Nov 2024, chart shows 0%–25%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2024 | 20.5% |
| 6 Nov 2024 | 6.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 9.67K |
| Trade | Yes | 85 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Wisconsin is the final state the Associated Press declares a winner for in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No" The resolution of this market will be based on the first official declaration of a winner made by AP, regardless of whether they later retract that declaration. If the AP has not called multiple states by December 10, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be official information from AP.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/last-state-to-be-called-in-presidential-election
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