Analytics
Yes is at 2.9%, down 46 points from 48.5% when the market opened on 24 Jul 2026.
Across the 94 daily closes on record from 24 Jul 2026 to 30 Oct 2026 (6 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 48.5% on 24 Jul 2026 and the lowest 2.5% on 23 Oct 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 2.5%; a month before, 3.6%. Its largest one-day move was 40 points down, to 8.5% on 25 Jul 2026.
$2.48K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $10.92K, with a 3.9% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 43 trades, $54.53 bought Yes and $748.33 bought No.
The largest Yes position is Inthetrench with 259 shares; the largest No position is Nobody23041 with 570. Ten wallets hold 90.9% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 4 Nov 2026, 5 days from now.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 30, 12:31 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 94 points, 24 Jul 2026 – 30 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2026 | 48.5% |
| 30 Oct 2026 | 2.9% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Nobody23041 | No | 570 |
| Inthetrench | Yes | 259.01 |
| planktonXD | Yes | 199.28 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by November 2, 2026 11:59PM ET, the state of Wisconsin or any subdivision thereof announces that it has disqualified or will disqualify at least one individual from casting a valid vote in the 2026 midterm elections because that individual placed a bet or financial trade relating to the outcome of an election, or such a disqualification is otherwise made public. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". If a qualifying announcement or disqualification is issued within the specified timeframe, this market will resolve to “Yes” regardless of whether the announcement or disqualification is later withdrawn, walked-back, or otherwise revoked. A qualifying announcement need not take legal effect, survive judicial review, or result in a vote being disqualified. A consensus of credible reporting that a disqualification has been issued will also count. Announcements that the State has received challenges from private individuals or will consider those challenges will not qualify. Such announcement or disqualification must explicitly pertain to an individual or set of individuals. General statements of the state of Wisconsin's intention or capabilities to take such action, not related to any individual, will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the State of Wisconsin or any subdivision of the state; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-wisconsin-disenfranchise-any-voter-for-betting-on-elections-before-election-day-20260723222724608
| vinii |
| No |
| 109.03 |
| Crimson Scout DF5C | No | 103.22 |
| Dr.PNL | Yes | 94.17 |
| freedom69 | Yes | 64.83 |
| Numitus1994 | Yes | 42 |
| LornaPredicts | Yes | 32.99 |
| mrblarg64 | No | 32.98 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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