Analytics
Resolved No on 20 May 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 34% on 2 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 162 daily closes on record from 2 Dec 2025 to 20 May 2026 (8 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 34% on 2 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 May 2026. Its largest one-day move was 26 points down, to 8.5% on 3 Dec 2025. $15.95K traded over the market's life.
25 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 20, 2:43 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 162 points, 2 Dec 2025 – 20 May 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 2 Dec 2025 | 34.0% |
| 20 May 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 13.8K |
| rastoscx | Yes | 999.98 |
| tamalaile | Yes | 799.98 |
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Kentucky. If no 2026 Kentucky Republican Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Kentucky Republican party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/kentucky-republican-senate-primary-winner
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 453.01 |
| korda77 | Yes | 385 |
| Crimson Falcon C79A | Yes | 235.96 |
| e46m3 | Yes | 212.45 |
| ttj01 | Yes | 201 |
| Deafening-Possible | Yes | 150 |
| Bigggggggg | Yes | 123 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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