Analytics
Resolved No on 11 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 7.5% on 20 Mar 2026. Before it settled, across the 12 daily closes on record from 20 Mar 2026 to 9 Apr 2026 (9 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 10.5% on 23 Mar 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 5 Apr 2026. $483.91K traded over the market's life.
90 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 12, 12:53 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 12 points, 20 Mar 2026 – 9 Apr 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Mar 2026 | 7.5% |
| 9 Apr 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 283.82K |
| Flickering-Forage | Yes | 93.28K |
| Glum-Ligand | Yes | 11.17K |
| HugeSilver | Yes | 10.31K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament scheduled for March 29 - April 16, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament per the rules of the FIDE, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament is cancelled, or postponed after April 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from FIDE; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-fide-candidates-tournament-winner
New to prediction markets?
| gopfan2 | Yes | 5K |
| soganyok | Yes | 2.05K |
| LukeDelta | Yes | 2.02K |
| mikecantreed | Yes | 1.96K |
| nitish | Yes | 1.72K |
| H00GS | Yes | 1.7K |
