Analytics
Resolved No on 17 Jun 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 66.5%. Yes opened at 43.5% on 9 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 9 daily closes on record from 9 Jun 2026 to 17 Jun 2026, the highest close was 50% on 15 Jun 2026 and the lowest 29.5% on 14 Jun 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points up, to 50% on 15 Jun 2026. $6.99K traded over the market's life.
17 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jun 18, 10:27 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 9 points, 9 Jun 2026 – 17 Jun 2026, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 9 Jun 2026 | 43.5% |
| 17 Jun 2026 | 33.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| qcp14 | Yes | 720 |
| Edible-Audience | Yes | 151.47 |
| Jade Orbit 5C89 | Yes | 100 |
| .Menthe | Yes | 49.99 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Kevin Warsh is currently scheduled to give an FOMC Introductory Statement and press conference on June 17, 2026, at 2:30 PM ET. This market pertains to his Introductory Statement as well as the following Q&A session. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during the FOMC Press Conference. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Warsh is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). If no such statement by Warsh happens by June 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video and transcripts of the FOMC Press conference.
Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KEI7A10acTQ&pp=ygUWd2FyaHMgcHJlc3MgY29uZmVyZW5jZdIHCQk-CwGHKiGM7w%3D%3D
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-kevin-warsh-say-during-june-press-conference-20260608181155516
| getfee-s1 | Yes | 40 |
| 4fee-s3 | Yes | 34 |
| PPMT | Yes | 32.98 |
| zxcursed121 | Yes | 25.22 |
| ToTheMoon0915 | Yes | 20 |
| hesure | Yes | 20 |
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