Will Warren Buffett be richest person on October 31?

Resolved

No, settled Nov 1, 2025 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$601.9K

Resolved

Settled

Nov 1, 2025 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 Nov 2025.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 15% on 30 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 33 daily closes on record from 30 Sep 2025 to 1 Nov 2025, the highest close was 15% on 30 Sep 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 28 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 14 points down, to 0.9% on 1 Oct 2025. $601.86K traded over the market's life.

60 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Nov 1, 8:32 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 33 points, 30 Sep 2025 – 1 Nov 2025, chart shows 0%–20%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
30 Sep 2025	15.0%
1 Nov 2025	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Indigo Signal 2966	No	42.22K
qqqq88888	Yes	10K
Ziigmund	Yes	1.68K
Bright Horizon 81D6	Yes	1.02K

10 of 60 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve according to the name ranked #1 on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on October 31, 2025, 5:30 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/). If the data for the specified date is not released by September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, the Forbes Real-Time Billionaires List will be used (https://www.forbes.com/real-time-billionaires/#6aa3f0213d78). If neither source provides the specified date's data by October 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the latest data point available on the Bloomberg Billionaires Index.