Analytics
Resolved No on 11 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 62.5%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 26 Jul 2025. Before it settled, the high was 49.5% on 26 Jul 2025 and the low 20% on 29 Jul 2025. Its largest one-day move was 27 points up, to 47.5% on 5 Aug 2025. $290.53 traded over the market's life.
3 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 11, 2:49 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 17 points · 26 Jul 2025 – 11 Aug 2025 · axis zoomed to 10%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 26 Jul 2025 | 49.5% |
| 11 Aug 2025 | 37.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 116 |
| mrGreedyWinner | Yes | 36.53 |
| Mellow-Quadrant | Yes | 10 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed entity that announces a deal with TKO Group Holdings and/or Ultimate Fighting for streaming rights by December 31, 2025. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the first official announcement made by TKO/UFC and/or the listed entity of an agreement as to which entity or entities will receive streaming rights for UFC after the expiration of the present agreement with ESPN. If multiple listed entities receive streaming rights at the same time, multiple markets within this event may resolve to "Yes". A listed company's subsidiaries will be considered a part of that company for the purposes of this market (e.g., ESPN will be considered part of Disney, etc.). The primary resolution source will be information from TKO/UFC and the listed entity a deal is announced with, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-get-ufc-streaming-rights
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
