Analytics
Resolved Yes on 1 Jul 2023.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99.5%. Yes opened at 89% on 14 Feb 2023. Before it settled, across the 130 daily closes on record from 14 Feb 2023 to 1 Jul 2023 (8 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 99.5% on 29 Jun 2023 and the lowest 89% on 14 Feb 2023. Its largest one-day move was 7 points up, to 96% on 15 Feb 2023. $97.67K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 2, 5:36 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 130 points, 14 Feb 2023 – 1 Jul 2023, chart shows 85%–100%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 14 Feb 2023 | 89.0% |
| 1 Jul 2023 | 99.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Rapid Quasar 4546 | No | 6.52K |
| Disloyal-Oleo | No | 600 |
| cyklofasista | No | 222.22 |
This is a market group over whether specific global leaders will remain in power through different dates.
Resolution source: https://www.cia.gov/the-world-factbook/countries/russia/#government
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/world-leaders-will-they-remain-in-power-through-june-30
| No |
| 171.23 |
| Worn-Syndrome | No | 166.67 |
| Exciting-Misreading | No | 100 |
| Coordinated-Handball | No | 83.33 |
| Mo263 | No | 55.56 |
| Thorny-Invasion | No | 41.67 |
| Affectionate-Sticker | Yes | 5.8 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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