Analytics
Resolved No on 22 Jan 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 29.5% on 8 Nov 2024. Before it settled, across the 76 daily closes on record from 8 Nov 2024 to 22 Jan 2025, the highest close was 29.5% on 8 Nov 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 21 Jan 2025. Its largest one-day move was 28 points down, to 0.4% on 18 Jan 2025. $923.17K traded over the market's life.
144 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 23, 2:14 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 76 points, 8 Nov 2024 – 22 Jan 2025, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2024 | 29.5% |
| 22 Jan 2025 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 61.33K |
| tc7732 | Yes | 7.11K |
| deltarick | Yes | 646.5 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vivek Ramaswamy is appointed as a U.S. Senator for Ohio as a replacement for vice-president elect J.D. Vance by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the first individual appointed to replace Vance as U.S. Senator for Ohio - if another person is appointed this position first, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-replace-jd-vance-as-ohio-senator
New to prediction markets?
| Yes |
| 333.33 |
| PolyDump | Yes | 329.86 |
| AprilMain | Yes | 195.62 |
| sd2333 | Yes | 191.89 |
| GusBus84 | Yes | 131.57 |
| TimmyKojs | Yes | 120.56 |
| Lunar Lynx BBA9 | Yes | 50.4 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
