Analytics
Resolved No on 23 Mar 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.7%. Yes opened at 8.5% on 11 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 41 daily closes on record from 11 Feb 2026 to 23 Mar 2026, the highest close was 8.5% on 11 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 12 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 8.5 points down, to 0.1% on 12 Feb 2026.
118 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Mar 24, 12:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 41 points, 11 Feb 2026 – 23 Mar 2026, chart shows 0%–15%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 11 Feb 2026 | 8.5% |
| 23 Mar 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 653.8K |
| AABBBAAAA | Yes | 44.74K |
| TimeTraveler | Yes | 35.99K |
| Immense-Predecessor | Yes | 33K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament. If it is impossible for a team to win the 2026 NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament according to the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated) , the corresponding market will immediately resolve to “No”. If for any reason no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be information from the NCAA.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/2026-ncaa-tournament-winner
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| supaforecaster | Yes | 8.89K |
| Criminal-Underwriting | Yes | 7.73K |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 6.83K |
| DickTurbin | Yes | 6.54K |
| coryinsiderz | Yes | 6.4K |
| numismex | Yes | 6.32K |
