Analytics
Resolved Yes on 22 May 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 99%. Yes opened at 91.5% on 20 Mar 2024. Before it settled, across the 64 daily closes on record from 20 Mar 2024 to 22 May 2024, the highest close was 99% on 22 May 2024 and the lowest 48% on 24 Mar 2024. Its largest one-day move was 47 points down, to 48% on 24 Mar 2024. $26.22K traded over the market's life.
1 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 23, 6:19 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 64 points, 20 Mar 2024 – 22 May 2024
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Mar 2024 | 91.5% |
| 22 May 2024 | 99.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 14.4K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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Official listing: polymarket.com/event/who-will-win-california-special-election-to-supersede-mccarthy
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