Analytics
Resolved No on 1 May 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 22.5% on 5 Apr 2025. Before it settled, across the 27 daily closes on record from 5 Apr 2025 to 1 May 2025, the highest close was 22.5% on 5 Apr 2025 and the lowest 0.2% on 1 May 2025. Its largest one-day move was 19 points down, to 4% on 6 Apr 2025. $8.96K traded over the market's life.
2 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of May 2, 12:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 27 points, 5 Apr 2025 – 1 May 2025, chart shows 0%–30%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 5 Apr 2025 | 22.5% |
| 1 May 2025 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Nuffsaid | Yes | 62.5 |
| Slow-Stock | Yes | 33.33 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country imposes any new or increased tariffs on the United States between April 4, 5:30 PM ET, and April 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any tariff which is officially enacted within the market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the tariff goes into effect. Only tariffs specifically targeting the U.S. will qualify. For example, a global tariff (tariffs on all imports into the listed country) will not count toward this market's resolution. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the listed country, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-countries-will-counter-tariff-the-us
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
