Analytics
Resolved No on 10 Feb 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 85.5%. Yes opened at 49.5% on 28 Jan 2025. Before it settled, across the 14 daily closes on record from 28 Jan 2025 to 10 Feb 2025, the highest close was 55% on 31 Jan 2025 and the lowest 9% on 3 Feb 2025. Its largest one-day move was 23 points down, to 26.5% on 29 Jan 2025. $169.1K traded over the market's life.
9 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 11, 10:46 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 14 points, 28 Jan 2025 – 10 Feb 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 28 Jan 2025 | 49.5% |
| 10 Feb 2025 | 14.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| mancini | Yes | 2.45K |
| DiamondPug | Yes | 789.47 |
| boberto | Yes | 371.43 |
| Detailed-Timing | Yes | 166.67 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed company/organization runs one or more advertisements during the national broadcast of Super Bowl LIX on Fox, scheduled for February 9, 2025, at 6:30 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If an advertisement is co-funded or co-branded by multiple companies, all listed companies involved will count as having advertised. Any brand which is at least 50% owned by a listed company will count for the parent company, such or Beats for Apple. If this game is delayed or postponed past February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. The advertisement must air between kickoff and the final whistle to qualify. The resolution source for this market is the National Broadcast of Super Bowl LIX on Fox, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/which-companies-will-run-ads-during-super-bowl-lix
| perman99 | Yes | 55.56 |
| wolfpack | Yes | 30 |
| PM777 | No | 0.01 |
| antoshkavlasio | Yes | 0.01 |
| testeman | No | 0.01 |
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