Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 6.5% on 25 Nov 2025. Before it settled, the high was 6.5% on 25 Nov 2025 and the low 0.1% on 30 Dec 2025. $16.55K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Aug 21, 6:19 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 39 points · 25 Nov 2025 – 1 Jan 2026 · axis zoomed to 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Nov 2025 | 6.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| 8Eotx5qJmuUVd | Yes | 900 |
| acal | Yes | 799.99 |
| tailevent | Yes | 600 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Ventuals (https://x.com/ventuals) officially launches a governance token by 11:59 PM ET on the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable. Announcements alone do not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from Ventuals, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-ventuals-launch-a-token-by
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 309 |
| Emerald Pioneer D14A | Yes | 299 |
| Jade Harbor B075 | Yes | 195 |
| Crimson Vector F03A | Yes | 181 |
| Olka | Yes | 169.98 |
| Bold Scout BD7E | Yes | 148 |
| Bright Signal 14DE | Yes | 124 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
