Analytics
Resolved No on 26 Oct 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 95.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 16 Oct 2025. Before it settled, across the 11 daily closes on record from 16 Oct 2025 to 26 Oct 2025, the highest close was 50% on 16 Oct 2025 and the lowest 1.5% on 22 Oct 2025. Its largest one-day move was 35 points down, to 9.5% on 20 Oct 2025. $89.12 traded over the market's life.
5 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 27, 4:30 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 16 Oct 2025 – 26 Oct 2025
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Oct 2025 | 50.0% |
| 26 Oct 2025 | 4.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Encampedboar850 | Yes | 31.14 |
| Solarboy | Yes | 11.11 |
| aqua54 | Yes | 2.5 |
| MoscowcityPlayer | Yes | 1.3 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vegas Matt’s video descriptions on YouTube show a net profit for the week ending on the specified Sunday. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". The market will resolve each Monday, based on all eligible full-length YouTube videos posted from Monday through Sunday 11:59 PM ET. YouTube Shorts, live streams, and clips will not be considered. Resolution is based solely on statistics in the video descriptions, which list his running balance and results from the previous video. If the description and video content conflict, the description prevails. Because each description reports the balance from the prior video, the final video only provides the balance for the preceding day, and its content does not contribute to that week’s result. If no qualifying video is posted during the covered period (from Monday through Sunday ET), the market will resolve to "No". This market's primary resolution source will be the video descriptions on Vegas Matt’s official YouTube account (https://www.youtube.com/@VegasMatt/videos).
Resolution source: https://www.youtube.com/@VegasMatt
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-vegas-matt-be-profitable-week-of-october-19
| PAceram1c | Yes | 1.3 |
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