Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Feb 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 41% on 24 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 40 daily closes on record from 24 Dec 2025 to 1 Feb 2026, the highest close was 41% on 24 Dec 2025 and the lowest 0.2% on 1 Feb 2026. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 19.5% on 25 Dec 2025. $23.76K traded over the market's life.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Feb 2, 8:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 40 points, 24 Dec 2025 – 1 Feb 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Dec 2025 | 41.0% |
| 1 Feb 2026 | 0.2% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| TENETENET | Yes | 500 |
| Alive-Intent | Yes | 138.18 |
| Danstradamus | Yes | 85.71 |
| bigE21 | Yes | 71.43 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Valve releases an operation to CS2 by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, “Valve” refers to Valve Corporation, the developer and publisher of the Counter-Strike series. For the purpose of this market, a “CS2 operation” refers to a major, time-limited content update officially released by Valve for Counter-Strike 2, which may include: -A purchasable Operation Pass (or equivalent) with an upgradable coin, enhanced missions, and exclusive rewards. -A campaign of missions (e.g., weekly or star-based progression) in official matchmaking. -Exclusive new cosmetics (e.g., weapon collections, skins, agents, stickers) primarily tied to the operation. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Valve; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-valve-to-add-first-cs2-operation-by-january-31-2026
| camshotsr | Yes | 67.59 |
| Zigzag-Spouse | Yes | 58.06 |
| AsuraSmellsLikeASS | Yes | 50 |
| Kachinho | Yes | 48.66 |
| Unfolded-Gear | Yes | 41.62 |
| moistcookie | Yes | 32.11 |
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