
Resolved No on 22 Aug 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 25.5% on 12 Aug 2025. Before it settled, the high was 25.5% on 12 Aug 2025 and the low 0.1% on 21 Aug 2025. Its largest one-day move was 13 points down, to 0.6% on 19 Aug 2025. $13.13K traded over the market's life.
20 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 20, 1:56 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 11 points, 12 Aug 2025 – 22 Aug 2025, chart shows 0%–40%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 12 Aug 2025 | 25.5% |
| 22 Aug 2025 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 6.32K |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 2.04K |
| Sardinianshepherd | Yes | 700.5 |
| gopfan2 | Yes | 616.83 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
Bolivia's general elections are scheduled for August 17, 2025, with a runoff on 19 October if no candidate wins outright by securing over 50% of valid votes or at least 40% with a 10-point lead. This market will resolve based on the total number of valid votes (votos válidos) cast in the first round of the 2025 Bolivian presidential election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results of the election, as reported by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market resolves based on the election results from the Bolivian government, specifically the Plurinational Electoral Body (Órgano Electoral Plurinacional, OEP) (https://www.oep.org.bo/). If these results are contested or otherwise unreleased, this market will remain open until the official voting results are confirmed and publicly released by the Plurinational Electoral Body.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/turnout-in-2025-bolivia-presidential-election-first-round
| qqwet | Yes | 213.58 |
| giantballs | Yes | 112.99 |
| qwertzu | Yes | 100 |
| Darkaeluz | Yes | 60 |
| Ricds | Yes | 57.11 |
| irio27 | Yes | 44.46 |
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