Will $USDT depeg by September 30?

cryptoResolved

No, settled Oct 1, 2024 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$256.9K

Resolved

Settled

Oct 1, 2024 UTC

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 Oct 2024.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 2.9% on 6 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 57 daily closes on record from 6 Aug 2024 to 1 Oct 2024, the highest close was 3.8% on 9 Aug 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Oct 2024. $256.95K traded over the market's life.

95 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 1:22 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 57 points, 6 Aug 2024 – 1 Oct 2024, chart shows 0%–10%

Yes price, first and latest
Observed	Yes price
6 Aug 2024	2.9%
1 Oct 2024	0.1%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
Sniper123	Yes	6.24K
tstraya	Yes	4.24K
Bold Harbor D6F6	Yes	2.08K
Cosmic Atlas 1F10	Yes	2K

10 of 95 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will resolve to “Yes” immediately if all Coinbase 1 minute candles for USDT-USD for any 24 hour period are below 98 cents, for candles between 05 Aug '24 12:00 and 30 Sep '24 23:59 in the ET timezone. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Below 98 cents means all candles in the period have a final “High” price below 0.98000 (i.e. 0.97999 or lower). A 24h period of USDT below 98 cents that starts on the last day will count (e.g. 30 Sep '24 22:00 to 01 Oct '24 22:00). The resolution source for this market is https://www.coinbase.com/, specifically the USDT-USD “High” prices currently available at https://www.coinbase.com/advanced-trade/USDT-USD with “1m” and “Candles” selected on the top bar. To see the “High” prices, mouse over particular candles and look at the value after “H” at the top of the chart. Please note that this market is about the price according to Coinbase USDT-USD. If Coinbase stops having the necessary USDT information to resolve this market, a consensus of credible sources for whether USDT was below 98 cents for 24h+ may be used to resolve this market.